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Michael Loncar

Michael Loncar

  • Law of Large Numbers in Gambling: What It Really Means
    Variance

    Law of Large Numbers in Gambling: What It Really Means

    October 21, 2026

    What the law of large numbers says about gambling: averages settle on the house edge while totals swing wider, with roulette and coin-flip math.

  • Gambler’s Fallacy: Why Past Spins Don’t Change the Odds
    Probability

    Gambler’s Fallacy: Why Past Spins Don’t Change the Odds

    October 21, 2026

    The gambler’s fallacy is the belief that past results change the next outcome. See the math with roulette, coin and dice examples, step by…

  • Roulette House Edge: Formula and Calculation
    House Edge

    Roulette House Edge: Formula and Calculation

    October 16, 2026

    How the roulette house edge is calculated from true odds and payout odds, with worked examples and a table of European, American and triple-zero…

  • Expected Value Formula for Gambling: Worked Examples
    Expected Value

    Expected Value Formula for Gambling: Worked Examples

    October 16, 2026

    The expected value formula for gambling, with worked roulette and betting examples, a table of EV by bet, and how EV becomes expected loss.

  • Convert American Odds to Decimal and Fractional Odds
    Odds & Payouts

    Convert American Odds to Decimal and Fractional Odds

    October 16, 2026

    How to convert American, decimal and fractional odds, find the implied probability, and see how the bookmaker’s margin shows up in a market.

  • Probability in Gambling: Formulas and Worked Examples
    Probability

    Probability in Gambling: Formulas and Worked Examples

    October 16, 2026

    How probability works in gambling: the four core formulas, worked roulette, dice and card examples, and a table of common bet probabilities.

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